Belgium in Brief: Stuck in the Brexit rubble

Belgium in Brief: Stuck in the Brexit rubble

Whilst 23 June 2016 is remembered as the fateful day that the UK voted to leave the EU, 1 February 2020 was the point that ties were formally severed. If the four intervening years provided a chance to figure out how things might pan out, now was the time to put predictions to the test.

With any appetite for compromise notably absent and a huge amount of airtime given to fish, things ended with a turning of backs rather than a shaking of hands. Yet for those with a foot in each camp – whether businesses or migrants – this split was untenable. We were the first to tread this unchartered territory.

Though politicians have made a great effort to deny the obvious and ignore the trilemma that has rendered negotiations futile, those caught between the EU and UK have had to figure out how to navigate the gauntlet of paperwork and protocols whose intention seems to be making life harder.

We see it in the post, in travel, and in trade. Apart from a handful of unworthy profiteers, it's difficult to see who's come out on top. Possibly local EU communities that have seen UK companies relocate, though traders on the continent have also been hit. And trying to rebuild old structures is a costly exercise. If only there were a blueprint for a new model...

Despite fervent assurances from Brexit polemicists that the UK's exit was just the "first brick out of the wall", the EU edifice is now stronger than ever. Support for the bloc has solidified as members look to Britain, not as the champion of unrestrained growth but instead as a warning of nationalist zeal going too far.

Three years is an inauspicious anniversary and partisans on either side of the debate will hope that future anniversaries provide more promise than reticence. Time can certainly be a great healer, but with it must come political will, realism, and an eye to the future, not the past.

Are you holding out hope? Let @Orlando_tbt know.

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