UK heading towards employment 'apocalypse' due to AI, new study says

UK heading towards employment 'apocalypse' due to AI, new study says
Credit: Belga

The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) threatens nearly 8 million jobs in the United Kingdom unless government measures are taken to instead enhance work through technology, a study by the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) warned on Wednesday.

In the worst-case scenario, up to 7.9 million positions could ultimately be lost. These range from low and highly-skilled jobs spanning secretarial work to data management and graphic design, to be potentially replaced by algorithms, according to the IPPR study.

However, tax measures encouraging the enrichment of jobs with new responsibilities while automating certain tasks can avert a so-called "job apocalypse".

The study also recommended fostering 'green' roles, claiming they are less susceptible to automation. Carsten Jung, IPPR economist, argued that generative AI could lead to enormous disruption in the labour market or, conversely, boost economic growth.

The report found that 11% of tasks are already endangered by an initial wave of automation threatening part-time roles and entry-level jobs, primarily occupied by young people and women.

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For the moment, this first AI phase particularly puts at risk data management, planning, inventory control, customer service, and administrative positions.

A second wave, where AI is incorporated into increasingly sophisticated professions, could affect 59% of 'cognitive' tasks. In return, this would impact higher-paid jobs such as database creation or graphics, noted the study.

However, if London takes protective measures, it could actually  enhance jobs, predicts the IPPR. That would lead to no job losses but a potential 13% boost to GDP through improved productivity. Conversely, the study projected that the most destructive scenario would result in no GDP gains.


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